Would Moore's Law apply to mechanical computers?












1












$begingroup$


We know through the works of Babbage, Lovelace, et al. that mechanical computers (computers operating through gears, cogs, etc., and powered by steam or some other arbitrary non-electric power source) are possible.



In our world, it has been observed that electronic computers obey various forms of Moore's laws, with exponential growth.



In a world without electronic computers as we know them, would mechanical computers display a Moore's Law-like exponential curve of improvements? If not, why?




  • Would Moore's Law simply be inapplicable to mechanically engineered non-microscopic components (e.g. gears, cogs, ratchets, etc.)?

  • Would it initially apply, but rapidly hit a "hard" physical barrier/limit?

  • Would it follow some other kind of curve, such as linear growth or polynomial growth?










share|improve this question









$endgroup$












  • $begingroup$
    Unlikely! We've had centuries to streamline mechanical efficiency
    $endgroup$
    – nzaman
    4 hours ago










  • $begingroup$
    It did apply to mechanical computers if you look at the larger application of the idea. Mechanical computers improved until supplanted by superior technology - constantly shrinking and increasing capability. If you're only asking after its applicability in a purely mechanical context, the answer is no. However, remember that SE's model is one-specific-question/one-best-answer. I count 5. VTC OT:TB. Let me know when you've whittled this down to just one specific question and I'll retract my vote.
    $endgroup$
    – JBH
    35 mins ago










  • $begingroup$
    @JBH those are not independent questions, but questions to show initial research and indicate the potential structure or nature of an answer. The actual question is the one in the title. The three bullets at the bottom are likewise not additional questions, just possible reasons for a "no" that could be explored.
    $endgroup$
    – Robert Columbia
    33 mins ago












  • $begingroup$
    Please express "questions to show initial research" as something other than a question. At this time, your post has 5 questions to be answered by the community. You get one.
    $endgroup$
    – JBH
    30 mins ago






  • 1




    $begingroup$
    Also, please explain if any electricity at all is permitted. Can electric motors drive the mechanical engines? Can cathode-ray tube monitors be used? Or is this 100% mechanical with steam the only mode of turning cam shafts? Displays may be the ultimate limiting factor.
    $endgroup$
    – JBH
    27 mins ago
















1












$begingroup$


We know through the works of Babbage, Lovelace, et al. that mechanical computers (computers operating through gears, cogs, etc., and powered by steam or some other arbitrary non-electric power source) are possible.



In our world, it has been observed that electronic computers obey various forms of Moore's laws, with exponential growth.



In a world without electronic computers as we know them, would mechanical computers display a Moore's Law-like exponential curve of improvements? If not, why?




  • Would Moore's Law simply be inapplicable to mechanically engineered non-microscopic components (e.g. gears, cogs, ratchets, etc.)?

  • Would it initially apply, but rapidly hit a "hard" physical barrier/limit?

  • Would it follow some other kind of curve, such as linear growth or polynomial growth?










share|improve this question









$endgroup$












  • $begingroup$
    Unlikely! We've had centuries to streamline mechanical efficiency
    $endgroup$
    – nzaman
    4 hours ago










  • $begingroup$
    It did apply to mechanical computers if you look at the larger application of the idea. Mechanical computers improved until supplanted by superior technology - constantly shrinking and increasing capability. If you're only asking after its applicability in a purely mechanical context, the answer is no. However, remember that SE's model is one-specific-question/one-best-answer. I count 5. VTC OT:TB. Let me know when you've whittled this down to just one specific question and I'll retract my vote.
    $endgroup$
    – JBH
    35 mins ago










  • $begingroup$
    @JBH those are not independent questions, but questions to show initial research and indicate the potential structure or nature of an answer. The actual question is the one in the title. The three bullets at the bottom are likewise not additional questions, just possible reasons for a "no" that could be explored.
    $endgroup$
    – Robert Columbia
    33 mins ago












  • $begingroup$
    Please express "questions to show initial research" as something other than a question. At this time, your post has 5 questions to be answered by the community. You get one.
    $endgroup$
    – JBH
    30 mins ago






  • 1




    $begingroup$
    Also, please explain if any electricity at all is permitted. Can electric motors drive the mechanical engines? Can cathode-ray tube monitors be used? Or is this 100% mechanical with steam the only mode of turning cam shafts? Displays may be the ultimate limiting factor.
    $endgroup$
    – JBH
    27 mins ago














1












1








1





$begingroup$


We know through the works of Babbage, Lovelace, et al. that mechanical computers (computers operating through gears, cogs, etc., and powered by steam or some other arbitrary non-electric power source) are possible.



In our world, it has been observed that electronic computers obey various forms of Moore's laws, with exponential growth.



In a world without electronic computers as we know them, would mechanical computers display a Moore's Law-like exponential curve of improvements? If not, why?




  • Would Moore's Law simply be inapplicable to mechanically engineered non-microscopic components (e.g. gears, cogs, ratchets, etc.)?

  • Would it initially apply, but rapidly hit a "hard" physical barrier/limit?

  • Would it follow some other kind of curve, such as linear growth or polynomial growth?










share|improve this question









$endgroup$




We know through the works of Babbage, Lovelace, et al. that mechanical computers (computers operating through gears, cogs, etc., and powered by steam or some other arbitrary non-electric power source) are possible.



In our world, it has been observed that electronic computers obey various forms of Moore's laws, with exponential growth.



In a world without electronic computers as we know them, would mechanical computers display a Moore's Law-like exponential curve of improvements? If not, why?




  • Would Moore's Law simply be inapplicable to mechanically engineered non-microscopic components (e.g. gears, cogs, ratchets, etc.)?

  • Would it initially apply, but rapidly hit a "hard" physical barrier/limit?

  • Would it follow some other kind of curve, such as linear growth or polynomial growth?







science-based computers steampunk






share|improve this question













share|improve this question











share|improve this question




share|improve this question










asked 4 hours ago









Robert ColumbiaRobert Columbia

1,056618




1,056618












  • $begingroup$
    Unlikely! We've had centuries to streamline mechanical efficiency
    $endgroup$
    – nzaman
    4 hours ago










  • $begingroup$
    It did apply to mechanical computers if you look at the larger application of the idea. Mechanical computers improved until supplanted by superior technology - constantly shrinking and increasing capability. If you're only asking after its applicability in a purely mechanical context, the answer is no. However, remember that SE's model is one-specific-question/one-best-answer. I count 5. VTC OT:TB. Let me know when you've whittled this down to just one specific question and I'll retract my vote.
    $endgroup$
    – JBH
    35 mins ago










  • $begingroup$
    @JBH those are not independent questions, but questions to show initial research and indicate the potential structure or nature of an answer. The actual question is the one in the title. The three bullets at the bottom are likewise not additional questions, just possible reasons for a "no" that could be explored.
    $endgroup$
    – Robert Columbia
    33 mins ago












  • $begingroup$
    Please express "questions to show initial research" as something other than a question. At this time, your post has 5 questions to be answered by the community. You get one.
    $endgroup$
    – JBH
    30 mins ago






  • 1




    $begingroup$
    Also, please explain if any electricity at all is permitted. Can electric motors drive the mechanical engines? Can cathode-ray tube monitors be used? Or is this 100% mechanical with steam the only mode of turning cam shafts? Displays may be the ultimate limiting factor.
    $endgroup$
    – JBH
    27 mins ago


















  • $begingroup$
    Unlikely! We've had centuries to streamline mechanical efficiency
    $endgroup$
    – nzaman
    4 hours ago










  • $begingroup$
    It did apply to mechanical computers if you look at the larger application of the idea. Mechanical computers improved until supplanted by superior technology - constantly shrinking and increasing capability. If you're only asking after its applicability in a purely mechanical context, the answer is no. However, remember that SE's model is one-specific-question/one-best-answer. I count 5. VTC OT:TB. Let me know when you've whittled this down to just one specific question and I'll retract my vote.
    $endgroup$
    – JBH
    35 mins ago










  • $begingroup$
    @JBH those are not independent questions, but questions to show initial research and indicate the potential structure or nature of an answer. The actual question is the one in the title. The three bullets at the bottom are likewise not additional questions, just possible reasons for a "no" that could be explored.
    $endgroup$
    – Robert Columbia
    33 mins ago












  • $begingroup$
    Please express "questions to show initial research" as something other than a question. At this time, your post has 5 questions to be answered by the community. You get one.
    $endgroup$
    – JBH
    30 mins ago






  • 1




    $begingroup$
    Also, please explain if any electricity at all is permitted. Can electric motors drive the mechanical engines? Can cathode-ray tube monitors be used? Or is this 100% mechanical with steam the only mode of turning cam shafts? Displays may be the ultimate limiting factor.
    $endgroup$
    – JBH
    27 mins ago
















$begingroup$
Unlikely! We've had centuries to streamline mechanical efficiency
$endgroup$
– nzaman
4 hours ago




$begingroup$
Unlikely! We've had centuries to streamline mechanical efficiency
$endgroup$
– nzaman
4 hours ago












$begingroup$
It did apply to mechanical computers if you look at the larger application of the idea. Mechanical computers improved until supplanted by superior technology - constantly shrinking and increasing capability. If you're only asking after its applicability in a purely mechanical context, the answer is no. However, remember that SE's model is one-specific-question/one-best-answer. I count 5. VTC OT:TB. Let me know when you've whittled this down to just one specific question and I'll retract my vote.
$endgroup$
– JBH
35 mins ago




$begingroup$
It did apply to mechanical computers if you look at the larger application of the idea. Mechanical computers improved until supplanted by superior technology - constantly shrinking and increasing capability. If you're only asking after its applicability in a purely mechanical context, the answer is no. However, remember that SE's model is one-specific-question/one-best-answer. I count 5. VTC OT:TB. Let me know when you've whittled this down to just one specific question and I'll retract my vote.
$endgroup$
– JBH
35 mins ago












$begingroup$
@JBH those are not independent questions, but questions to show initial research and indicate the potential structure or nature of an answer. The actual question is the one in the title. The three bullets at the bottom are likewise not additional questions, just possible reasons for a "no" that could be explored.
$endgroup$
– Robert Columbia
33 mins ago






$begingroup$
@JBH those are not independent questions, but questions to show initial research and indicate the potential structure or nature of an answer. The actual question is the one in the title. The three bullets at the bottom are likewise not additional questions, just possible reasons for a "no" that could be explored.
$endgroup$
– Robert Columbia
33 mins ago














$begingroup$
Please express "questions to show initial research" as something other than a question. At this time, your post has 5 questions to be answered by the community. You get one.
$endgroup$
– JBH
30 mins ago




$begingroup$
Please express "questions to show initial research" as something other than a question. At this time, your post has 5 questions to be answered by the community. You get one.
$endgroup$
– JBH
30 mins ago




1




1




$begingroup$
Also, please explain if any electricity at all is permitted. Can electric motors drive the mechanical engines? Can cathode-ray tube monitors be used? Or is this 100% mechanical with steam the only mode of turning cam shafts? Displays may be the ultimate limiting factor.
$endgroup$
– JBH
27 mins ago




$begingroup$
Also, please explain if any electricity at all is permitted. Can electric motors drive the mechanical engines? Can cathode-ray tube monitors be used? Or is this 100% mechanical with steam the only mode of turning cam shafts? Displays may be the ultimate limiting factor.
$endgroup$
– JBH
27 mins ago










2 Answers
2






active

oldest

votes


















4












$begingroup$

First of all, Moore's law is not a law of physics like Newton's law of gravity. It is just an empirical evidence that has hold until now, in a quite surprising way.



While we have been able so far to shrink and shrink the size of electronic components, that is hardly possible with mechanical elements, therefore I highly doubt a mechanical equivalent of Moore's law would hold for more than few generations of calculators.



After that it would just be an horizontal line.






share|improve this answer









$endgroup$









  • 2




    $begingroup$
    To be fair, the laws of physics are just empirical evidence that holds up to reality quite well, it’s just that Moore’s Law has a much, much smaller set of experimental evidence and some really dodgy methodology!
    $endgroup$
    – Joe Bloggs
    3 hours ago












  • $begingroup$
    Can't we see the theoretical end to the law? There's a physical limit to how close you can put an electrical circuit pathway and not have it induct into another, let alone what we can or can't do with photolithography.
    $endgroup$
    – Mazura
    3 hours ago






  • 1




    $begingroup$
    I would argue we already have shrunk mechanical devices to their maximum potential. Three hundred years ago nobody could imagine carrying a mechanical timepiece in their pockets
    $endgroup$
    – nzaman
    41 mins ago










  • $begingroup$
    @Mazura I've been hearing people say we'd reach that limit when processors clocked at 1ghz, then 2ghz, then 3 and 4. After that limit didn't come we started going multicore. So if that limit is ever reached, I think it won't be in this or the next decade.
    $endgroup$
    – Renan
    29 mins ago





















2












$begingroup$

Molecular machines



You can in theory make 'mechanical' machines right down to molecular level. They already exist in biology, for example rotary motors:




Three protein motors have been unambiguously identified as rotary
engines: the bacterial flagellar motor and the two motors that
constitute ATP synthase (F 0F 1 ATPase). Of these, the bacterial
flagellar motor and F 0 motors derive their energy from a
transmembrane ion-motive force, whereas the F 1 motor is driven by ATP
hydrolysis.




And also other machines such as ribosomes and the following:




Cytoskeletal motors



Polymerisation motors



Rotary motors:



Nucleic acid motors



Viral DNA packaging motors



Enzymatic motors:



Synthetic molecular



https://www.cell.com/trends/cell-biology/fulltext/S0962-8924(03)00004-7




Reasearchers are currently working on so-called biological computers that work in a different way from the standard von Neumann machines of today.





EDIT



Mechanical monitors would also have improved at a similar rate, having developed from this mechanical TV: https://www.vox.com/2015/3/25/8285977/mechanical-television



enter image description here






share|improve this answer











$endgroup$













  • $begingroup$
    Are you suggesting that you could have developed the computational capacity to develop the technology necessary to create molecular machines only via mechanical computing? If you'll forgive the hyperbole, 1980s-era computing would have required mechanical computers roughly covering the state of Massachusetts and you have no CRT/monitors in sight.
    $endgroup$
    – JBH
    32 mins ago










  • $begingroup$
    @JBH - Surely that is where Moore's Law comes in. Maybe the size halves in ten years instead of one. The 1980s would already have been influenced by Moore's Law in mechanical terms so your assumption is faulty. As for monitors, early TVs were tried with spinning disks. I'm sure that could be refined perfectly easily.
    $endgroup$
    – chasly from UK
    22 mins ago










  • $begingroup$
    I'm familiar with electronic fabrication technology. Based on that experience, you have a chicken-and-the-egg problem. The technology needed to eventually achieve molecular gearing requires more computational power (a lot more) than you can get from non-molecular shrinking. There comes a point before a gear is molecular in size (depending on nuclear forces to keep the gears together) when you can no longer depend on the strength of the metal to keep the teeth on a gear sharp. I can't see a path from A to B that's purely mechanical. Just my opinion, I've not voted either way.
    $endgroup$
    – JBH
    20 mins ago












  • $begingroup$
    @ JBH - Of course that is the classic Creationist argument ;-) - i.e. You can't get here from there. Creationists claim that the evolution of the human eye is impossible because there are no viable intermediate stages between a simple light-sensitive patch and a full-blown human eye.
    $endgroup$
    – chasly from UK
    12 mins ago












  • $begingroup$
    Curious, my experience isn't philosophical. BTW, the "mechanical television" you have listed isn't a display. It's the camera. It's electrically driven, uses electrical illumination and signal processing. The "mechanical" part is to capture motion. The results of using it still depend on a CRT screen. It doesn't solve the problem.
    $endgroup$
    – JBH
    8 mins ago













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2 Answers
2






active

oldest

votes








2 Answers
2






active

oldest

votes









active

oldest

votes






active

oldest

votes









4












$begingroup$

First of all, Moore's law is not a law of physics like Newton's law of gravity. It is just an empirical evidence that has hold until now, in a quite surprising way.



While we have been able so far to shrink and shrink the size of electronic components, that is hardly possible with mechanical elements, therefore I highly doubt a mechanical equivalent of Moore's law would hold for more than few generations of calculators.



After that it would just be an horizontal line.






share|improve this answer









$endgroup$









  • 2




    $begingroup$
    To be fair, the laws of physics are just empirical evidence that holds up to reality quite well, it’s just that Moore’s Law has a much, much smaller set of experimental evidence and some really dodgy methodology!
    $endgroup$
    – Joe Bloggs
    3 hours ago












  • $begingroup$
    Can't we see the theoretical end to the law? There's a physical limit to how close you can put an electrical circuit pathway and not have it induct into another, let alone what we can or can't do with photolithography.
    $endgroup$
    – Mazura
    3 hours ago






  • 1




    $begingroup$
    I would argue we already have shrunk mechanical devices to their maximum potential. Three hundred years ago nobody could imagine carrying a mechanical timepiece in their pockets
    $endgroup$
    – nzaman
    41 mins ago










  • $begingroup$
    @Mazura I've been hearing people say we'd reach that limit when processors clocked at 1ghz, then 2ghz, then 3 and 4. After that limit didn't come we started going multicore. So if that limit is ever reached, I think it won't be in this or the next decade.
    $endgroup$
    – Renan
    29 mins ago


















4












$begingroup$

First of all, Moore's law is not a law of physics like Newton's law of gravity. It is just an empirical evidence that has hold until now, in a quite surprising way.



While we have been able so far to shrink and shrink the size of electronic components, that is hardly possible with mechanical elements, therefore I highly doubt a mechanical equivalent of Moore's law would hold for more than few generations of calculators.



After that it would just be an horizontal line.






share|improve this answer









$endgroup$









  • 2




    $begingroup$
    To be fair, the laws of physics are just empirical evidence that holds up to reality quite well, it’s just that Moore’s Law has a much, much smaller set of experimental evidence and some really dodgy methodology!
    $endgroup$
    – Joe Bloggs
    3 hours ago












  • $begingroup$
    Can't we see the theoretical end to the law? There's a physical limit to how close you can put an electrical circuit pathway and not have it induct into another, let alone what we can or can't do with photolithography.
    $endgroup$
    – Mazura
    3 hours ago






  • 1




    $begingroup$
    I would argue we already have shrunk mechanical devices to their maximum potential. Three hundred years ago nobody could imagine carrying a mechanical timepiece in their pockets
    $endgroup$
    – nzaman
    41 mins ago










  • $begingroup$
    @Mazura I've been hearing people say we'd reach that limit when processors clocked at 1ghz, then 2ghz, then 3 and 4. After that limit didn't come we started going multicore. So if that limit is ever reached, I think it won't be in this or the next decade.
    $endgroup$
    – Renan
    29 mins ago
















4












4








4





$begingroup$

First of all, Moore's law is not a law of physics like Newton's law of gravity. It is just an empirical evidence that has hold until now, in a quite surprising way.



While we have been able so far to shrink and shrink the size of electronic components, that is hardly possible with mechanical elements, therefore I highly doubt a mechanical equivalent of Moore's law would hold for more than few generations of calculators.



After that it would just be an horizontal line.






share|improve this answer









$endgroup$



First of all, Moore's law is not a law of physics like Newton's law of gravity. It is just an empirical evidence that has hold until now, in a quite surprising way.



While we have been able so far to shrink and shrink the size of electronic components, that is hardly possible with mechanical elements, therefore I highly doubt a mechanical equivalent of Moore's law would hold for more than few generations of calculators.



After that it would just be an horizontal line.







share|improve this answer












share|improve this answer



share|improve this answer










answered 4 hours ago









L.DutchL.Dutch

80.3k26192390




80.3k26192390








  • 2




    $begingroup$
    To be fair, the laws of physics are just empirical evidence that holds up to reality quite well, it’s just that Moore’s Law has a much, much smaller set of experimental evidence and some really dodgy methodology!
    $endgroup$
    – Joe Bloggs
    3 hours ago












  • $begingroup$
    Can't we see the theoretical end to the law? There's a physical limit to how close you can put an electrical circuit pathway and not have it induct into another, let alone what we can or can't do with photolithography.
    $endgroup$
    – Mazura
    3 hours ago






  • 1




    $begingroup$
    I would argue we already have shrunk mechanical devices to their maximum potential. Three hundred years ago nobody could imagine carrying a mechanical timepiece in their pockets
    $endgroup$
    – nzaman
    41 mins ago










  • $begingroup$
    @Mazura I've been hearing people say we'd reach that limit when processors clocked at 1ghz, then 2ghz, then 3 and 4. After that limit didn't come we started going multicore. So if that limit is ever reached, I think it won't be in this or the next decade.
    $endgroup$
    – Renan
    29 mins ago
















  • 2




    $begingroup$
    To be fair, the laws of physics are just empirical evidence that holds up to reality quite well, it’s just that Moore’s Law has a much, much smaller set of experimental evidence and some really dodgy methodology!
    $endgroup$
    – Joe Bloggs
    3 hours ago












  • $begingroup$
    Can't we see the theoretical end to the law? There's a physical limit to how close you can put an electrical circuit pathway and not have it induct into another, let alone what we can or can't do with photolithography.
    $endgroup$
    – Mazura
    3 hours ago






  • 1




    $begingroup$
    I would argue we already have shrunk mechanical devices to their maximum potential. Three hundred years ago nobody could imagine carrying a mechanical timepiece in their pockets
    $endgroup$
    – nzaman
    41 mins ago










  • $begingroup$
    @Mazura I've been hearing people say we'd reach that limit when processors clocked at 1ghz, then 2ghz, then 3 and 4. After that limit didn't come we started going multicore. So if that limit is ever reached, I think it won't be in this or the next decade.
    $endgroup$
    – Renan
    29 mins ago










2




2




$begingroup$
To be fair, the laws of physics are just empirical evidence that holds up to reality quite well, it’s just that Moore’s Law has a much, much smaller set of experimental evidence and some really dodgy methodology!
$endgroup$
– Joe Bloggs
3 hours ago






$begingroup$
To be fair, the laws of physics are just empirical evidence that holds up to reality quite well, it’s just that Moore’s Law has a much, much smaller set of experimental evidence and some really dodgy methodology!
$endgroup$
– Joe Bloggs
3 hours ago














$begingroup$
Can't we see the theoretical end to the law? There's a physical limit to how close you can put an electrical circuit pathway and not have it induct into another, let alone what we can or can't do with photolithography.
$endgroup$
– Mazura
3 hours ago




$begingroup$
Can't we see the theoretical end to the law? There's a physical limit to how close you can put an electrical circuit pathway and not have it induct into another, let alone what we can or can't do with photolithography.
$endgroup$
– Mazura
3 hours ago




1




1




$begingroup$
I would argue we already have shrunk mechanical devices to their maximum potential. Three hundred years ago nobody could imagine carrying a mechanical timepiece in their pockets
$endgroup$
– nzaman
41 mins ago




$begingroup$
I would argue we already have shrunk mechanical devices to their maximum potential. Three hundred years ago nobody could imagine carrying a mechanical timepiece in their pockets
$endgroup$
– nzaman
41 mins ago












$begingroup$
@Mazura I've been hearing people say we'd reach that limit when processors clocked at 1ghz, then 2ghz, then 3 and 4. After that limit didn't come we started going multicore. So if that limit is ever reached, I think it won't be in this or the next decade.
$endgroup$
– Renan
29 mins ago






$begingroup$
@Mazura I've been hearing people say we'd reach that limit when processors clocked at 1ghz, then 2ghz, then 3 and 4. After that limit didn't come we started going multicore. So if that limit is ever reached, I think it won't be in this or the next decade.
$endgroup$
– Renan
29 mins ago













2












$begingroup$

Molecular machines



You can in theory make 'mechanical' machines right down to molecular level. They already exist in biology, for example rotary motors:




Three protein motors have been unambiguously identified as rotary
engines: the bacterial flagellar motor and the two motors that
constitute ATP synthase (F 0F 1 ATPase). Of these, the bacterial
flagellar motor and F 0 motors derive their energy from a
transmembrane ion-motive force, whereas the F 1 motor is driven by ATP
hydrolysis.




And also other machines such as ribosomes and the following:




Cytoskeletal motors



Polymerisation motors



Rotary motors:



Nucleic acid motors



Viral DNA packaging motors



Enzymatic motors:



Synthetic molecular



https://www.cell.com/trends/cell-biology/fulltext/S0962-8924(03)00004-7




Reasearchers are currently working on so-called biological computers that work in a different way from the standard von Neumann machines of today.





EDIT



Mechanical monitors would also have improved at a similar rate, having developed from this mechanical TV: https://www.vox.com/2015/3/25/8285977/mechanical-television



enter image description here






share|improve this answer











$endgroup$













  • $begingroup$
    Are you suggesting that you could have developed the computational capacity to develop the technology necessary to create molecular machines only via mechanical computing? If you'll forgive the hyperbole, 1980s-era computing would have required mechanical computers roughly covering the state of Massachusetts and you have no CRT/monitors in sight.
    $endgroup$
    – JBH
    32 mins ago










  • $begingroup$
    @JBH - Surely that is where Moore's Law comes in. Maybe the size halves in ten years instead of one. The 1980s would already have been influenced by Moore's Law in mechanical terms so your assumption is faulty. As for monitors, early TVs were tried with spinning disks. I'm sure that could be refined perfectly easily.
    $endgroup$
    – chasly from UK
    22 mins ago










  • $begingroup$
    I'm familiar with electronic fabrication technology. Based on that experience, you have a chicken-and-the-egg problem. The technology needed to eventually achieve molecular gearing requires more computational power (a lot more) than you can get from non-molecular shrinking. There comes a point before a gear is molecular in size (depending on nuclear forces to keep the gears together) when you can no longer depend on the strength of the metal to keep the teeth on a gear sharp. I can't see a path from A to B that's purely mechanical. Just my opinion, I've not voted either way.
    $endgroup$
    – JBH
    20 mins ago












  • $begingroup$
    @ JBH - Of course that is the classic Creationist argument ;-) - i.e. You can't get here from there. Creationists claim that the evolution of the human eye is impossible because there are no viable intermediate stages between a simple light-sensitive patch and a full-blown human eye.
    $endgroup$
    – chasly from UK
    12 mins ago












  • $begingroup$
    Curious, my experience isn't philosophical. BTW, the "mechanical television" you have listed isn't a display. It's the camera. It's electrically driven, uses electrical illumination and signal processing. The "mechanical" part is to capture motion. The results of using it still depend on a CRT screen. It doesn't solve the problem.
    $endgroup$
    – JBH
    8 mins ago


















2












$begingroup$

Molecular machines



You can in theory make 'mechanical' machines right down to molecular level. They already exist in biology, for example rotary motors:




Three protein motors have been unambiguously identified as rotary
engines: the bacterial flagellar motor and the two motors that
constitute ATP synthase (F 0F 1 ATPase). Of these, the bacterial
flagellar motor and F 0 motors derive their energy from a
transmembrane ion-motive force, whereas the F 1 motor is driven by ATP
hydrolysis.




And also other machines such as ribosomes and the following:




Cytoskeletal motors



Polymerisation motors



Rotary motors:



Nucleic acid motors



Viral DNA packaging motors



Enzymatic motors:



Synthetic molecular



https://www.cell.com/trends/cell-biology/fulltext/S0962-8924(03)00004-7




Reasearchers are currently working on so-called biological computers that work in a different way from the standard von Neumann machines of today.





EDIT



Mechanical monitors would also have improved at a similar rate, having developed from this mechanical TV: https://www.vox.com/2015/3/25/8285977/mechanical-television



enter image description here






share|improve this answer











$endgroup$













  • $begingroup$
    Are you suggesting that you could have developed the computational capacity to develop the technology necessary to create molecular machines only via mechanical computing? If you'll forgive the hyperbole, 1980s-era computing would have required mechanical computers roughly covering the state of Massachusetts and you have no CRT/monitors in sight.
    $endgroup$
    – JBH
    32 mins ago










  • $begingroup$
    @JBH - Surely that is where Moore's Law comes in. Maybe the size halves in ten years instead of one. The 1980s would already have been influenced by Moore's Law in mechanical terms so your assumption is faulty. As for monitors, early TVs were tried with spinning disks. I'm sure that could be refined perfectly easily.
    $endgroup$
    – chasly from UK
    22 mins ago










  • $begingroup$
    I'm familiar with electronic fabrication technology. Based on that experience, you have a chicken-and-the-egg problem. The technology needed to eventually achieve molecular gearing requires more computational power (a lot more) than you can get from non-molecular shrinking. There comes a point before a gear is molecular in size (depending on nuclear forces to keep the gears together) when you can no longer depend on the strength of the metal to keep the teeth on a gear sharp. I can't see a path from A to B that's purely mechanical. Just my opinion, I've not voted either way.
    $endgroup$
    – JBH
    20 mins ago












  • $begingroup$
    @ JBH - Of course that is the classic Creationist argument ;-) - i.e. You can't get here from there. Creationists claim that the evolution of the human eye is impossible because there are no viable intermediate stages between a simple light-sensitive patch and a full-blown human eye.
    $endgroup$
    – chasly from UK
    12 mins ago












  • $begingroup$
    Curious, my experience isn't philosophical. BTW, the "mechanical television" you have listed isn't a display. It's the camera. It's electrically driven, uses electrical illumination and signal processing. The "mechanical" part is to capture motion. The results of using it still depend on a CRT screen. It doesn't solve the problem.
    $endgroup$
    – JBH
    8 mins ago
















2












2








2





$begingroup$

Molecular machines



You can in theory make 'mechanical' machines right down to molecular level. They already exist in biology, for example rotary motors:




Three protein motors have been unambiguously identified as rotary
engines: the bacterial flagellar motor and the two motors that
constitute ATP synthase (F 0F 1 ATPase). Of these, the bacterial
flagellar motor and F 0 motors derive their energy from a
transmembrane ion-motive force, whereas the F 1 motor is driven by ATP
hydrolysis.




And also other machines such as ribosomes and the following:




Cytoskeletal motors



Polymerisation motors



Rotary motors:



Nucleic acid motors



Viral DNA packaging motors



Enzymatic motors:



Synthetic molecular



https://www.cell.com/trends/cell-biology/fulltext/S0962-8924(03)00004-7




Reasearchers are currently working on so-called biological computers that work in a different way from the standard von Neumann machines of today.





EDIT



Mechanical monitors would also have improved at a similar rate, having developed from this mechanical TV: https://www.vox.com/2015/3/25/8285977/mechanical-television



enter image description here






share|improve this answer











$endgroup$



Molecular machines



You can in theory make 'mechanical' machines right down to molecular level. They already exist in biology, for example rotary motors:




Three protein motors have been unambiguously identified as rotary
engines: the bacterial flagellar motor and the two motors that
constitute ATP synthase (F 0F 1 ATPase). Of these, the bacterial
flagellar motor and F 0 motors derive their energy from a
transmembrane ion-motive force, whereas the F 1 motor is driven by ATP
hydrolysis.




And also other machines such as ribosomes and the following:




Cytoskeletal motors



Polymerisation motors



Rotary motors:



Nucleic acid motors



Viral DNA packaging motors



Enzymatic motors:



Synthetic molecular



https://www.cell.com/trends/cell-biology/fulltext/S0962-8924(03)00004-7




Reasearchers are currently working on so-called biological computers that work in a different way from the standard von Neumann machines of today.





EDIT



Mechanical monitors would also have improved at a similar rate, having developed from this mechanical TV: https://www.vox.com/2015/3/25/8285977/mechanical-television



enter image description here







share|improve this answer














share|improve this answer



share|improve this answer








edited 18 mins ago

























answered 3 hours ago









chasly from UKchasly from UK

14k465133




14k465133












  • $begingroup$
    Are you suggesting that you could have developed the computational capacity to develop the technology necessary to create molecular machines only via mechanical computing? If you'll forgive the hyperbole, 1980s-era computing would have required mechanical computers roughly covering the state of Massachusetts and you have no CRT/monitors in sight.
    $endgroup$
    – JBH
    32 mins ago










  • $begingroup$
    @JBH - Surely that is where Moore's Law comes in. Maybe the size halves in ten years instead of one. The 1980s would already have been influenced by Moore's Law in mechanical terms so your assumption is faulty. As for monitors, early TVs were tried with spinning disks. I'm sure that could be refined perfectly easily.
    $endgroup$
    – chasly from UK
    22 mins ago










  • $begingroup$
    I'm familiar with electronic fabrication technology. Based on that experience, you have a chicken-and-the-egg problem. The technology needed to eventually achieve molecular gearing requires more computational power (a lot more) than you can get from non-molecular shrinking. There comes a point before a gear is molecular in size (depending on nuclear forces to keep the gears together) when you can no longer depend on the strength of the metal to keep the teeth on a gear sharp. I can't see a path from A to B that's purely mechanical. Just my opinion, I've not voted either way.
    $endgroup$
    – JBH
    20 mins ago












  • $begingroup$
    @ JBH - Of course that is the classic Creationist argument ;-) - i.e. You can't get here from there. Creationists claim that the evolution of the human eye is impossible because there are no viable intermediate stages between a simple light-sensitive patch and a full-blown human eye.
    $endgroup$
    – chasly from UK
    12 mins ago












  • $begingroup$
    Curious, my experience isn't philosophical. BTW, the "mechanical television" you have listed isn't a display. It's the camera. It's electrically driven, uses electrical illumination and signal processing. The "mechanical" part is to capture motion. The results of using it still depend on a CRT screen. It doesn't solve the problem.
    $endgroup$
    – JBH
    8 mins ago




















  • $begingroup$
    Are you suggesting that you could have developed the computational capacity to develop the technology necessary to create molecular machines only via mechanical computing? If you'll forgive the hyperbole, 1980s-era computing would have required mechanical computers roughly covering the state of Massachusetts and you have no CRT/monitors in sight.
    $endgroup$
    – JBH
    32 mins ago










  • $begingroup$
    @JBH - Surely that is where Moore's Law comes in. Maybe the size halves in ten years instead of one. The 1980s would already have been influenced by Moore's Law in mechanical terms so your assumption is faulty. As for monitors, early TVs were tried with spinning disks. I'm sure that could be refined perfectly easily.
    $endgroup$
    – chasly from UK
    22 mins ago










  • $begingroup$
    I'm familiar with electronic fabrication technology. Based on that experience, you have a chicken-and-the-egg problem. The technology needed to eventually achieve molecular gearing requires more computational power (a lot more) than you can get from non-molecular shrinking. There comes a point before a gear is molecular in size (depending on nuclear forces to keep the gears together) when you can no longer depend on the strength of the metal to keep the teeth on a gear sharp. I can't see a path from A to B that's purely mechanical. Just my opinion, I've not voted either way.
    $endgroup$
    – JBH
    20 mins ago












  • $begingroup$
    @ JBH - Of course that is the classic Creationist argument ;-) - i.e. You can't get here from there. Creationists claim that the evolution of the human eye is impossible because there are no viable intermediate stages between a simple light-sensitive patch and a full-blown human eye.
    $endgroup$
    – chasly from UK
    12 mins ago












  • $begingroup$
    Curious, my experience isn't philosophical. BTW, the "mechanical television" you have listed isn't a display. It's the camera. It's electrically driven, uses electrical illumination and signal processing. The "mechanical" part is to capture motion. The results of using it still depend on a CRT screen. It doesn't solve the problem.
    $endgroup$
    – JBH
    8 mins ago


















$begingroup$
Are you suggesting that you could have developed the computational capacity to develop the technology necessary to create molecular machines only via mechanical computing? If you'll forgive the hyperbole, 1980s-era computing would have required mechanical computers roughly covering the state of Massachusetts and you have no CRT/monitors in sight.
$endgroup$
– JBH
32 mins ago




$begingroup$
Are you suggesting that you could have developed the computational capacity to develop the technology necessary to create molecular machines only via mechanical computing? If you'll forgive the hyperbole, 1980s-era computing would have required mechanical computers roughly covering the state of Massachusetts and you have no CRT/monitors in sight.
$endgroup$
– JBH
32 mins ago












$begingroup$
@JBH - Surely that is where Moore's Law comes in. Maybe the size halves in ten years instead of one. The 1980s would already have been influenced by Moore's Law in mechanical terms so your assumption is faulty. As for monitors, early TVs were tried with spinning disks. I'm sure that could be refined perfectly easily.
$endgroup$
– chasly from UK
22 mins ago




$begingroup$
@JBH - Surely that is where Moore's Law comes in. Maybe the size halves in ten years instead of one. The 1980s would already have been influenced by Moore's Law in mechanical terms so your assumption is faulty. As for monitors, early TVs were tried with spinning disks. I'm sure that could be refined perfectly easily.
$endgroup$
– chasly from UK
22 mins ago












$begingroup$
I'm familiar with electronic fabrication technology. Based on that experience, you have a chicken-and-the-egg problem. The technology needed to eventually achieve molecular gearing requires more computational power (a lot more) than you can get from non-molecular shrinking. There comes a point before a gear is molecular in size (depending on nuclear forces to keep the gears together) when you can no longer depend on the strength of the metal to keep the teeth on a gear sharp. I can't see a path from A to B that's purely mechanical. Just my opinion, I've not voted either way.
$endgroup$
– JBH
20 mins ago






$begingroup$
I'm familiar with electronic fabrication technology. Based on that experience, you have a chicken-and-the-egg problem. The technology needed to eventually achieve molecular gearing requires more computational power (a lot more) than you can get from non-molecular shrinking. There comes a point before a gear is molecular in size (depending on nuclear forces to keep the gears together) when you can no longer depend on the strength of the metal to keep the teeth on a gear sharp. I can't see a path from A to B that's purely mechanical. Just my opinion, I've not voted either way.
$endgroup$
– JBH
20 mins ago














$begingroup$
@ JBH - Of course that is the classic Creationist argument ;-) - i.e. You can't get here from there. Creationists claim that the evolution of the human eye is impossible because there are no viable intermediate stages between a simple light-sensitive patch and a full-blown human eye.
$endgroup$
– chasly from UK
12 mins ago






$begingroup$
@ JBH - Of course that is the classic Creationist argument ;-) - i.e. You can't get here from there. Creationists claim that the evolution of the human eye is impossible because there are no viable intermediate stages between a simple light-sensitive patch and a full-blown human eye.
$endgroup$
– chasly from UK
12 mins ago














$begingroup$
Curious, my experience isn't philosophical. BTW, the "mechanical television" you have listed isn't a display. It's the camera. It's electrically driven, uses electrical illumination and signal processing. The "mechanical" part is to capture motion. The results of using it still depend on a CRT screen. It doesn't solve the problem.
$endgroup$
– JBH
8 mins ago






$begingroup$
Curious, my experience isn't philosophical. BTW, the "mechanical television" you have listed isn't a display. It's the camera. It's electrically driven, uses electrical illumination and signal processing. The "mechanical" part is to capture motion. The results of using it still depend on a CRT screen. It doesn't solve the problem.
$endgroup$
– JBH
8 mins ago




















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